Packers run 12–15 lb untrimmed. Buy one, trim it yourself, and you get flat and point both.
Assumes 10 adults, brisket plated as the main dish, a couple of sides, no leftovers.
Ten people is the size most first briskets get cooked for, and it's the size that trips people up in the opposite direction from what you'd expect — not too little, too much. Ten adults eating brisket as the main event need about 5 pounds on the table, which means roughly 10 pounds raw. That is already packer territory, and the smallest whole packers your butcher stocks will likely run 12 pounds. Buy it anyway. The overshoot is two or three pounds of cooked brisket, and brisket is the rare leftover that genuinely improves on day two.
The math, worked out
Every number on this page comes from the same two steps. Here it is longhand for 10 adults eating brisket as the main dish:
2. Raw weight to buy (about 50% is lost to trimming and cooking) 5 lbs × 2 = 10 lbs raw
Want leftovers? Add 15 percent and buy 11.5 lbs instead — that's about 3 extra meals once the party's over.
10 people, by how you're serving
Serving style moves this number more than anything except sides. Here's all three, with and without a full spread of side dishes:
Raw brisket needed for 10 adults by serving style and number of sides
Serving style
Per adult
Few sides
Full spread
Cut to buy
Plated main
0.5 lb
10 lbs
8 lbs
One whole packer
Sandwiches
0.33 lb
7 lbs
5.5 lbs
One large flat, or a point
Big BBQ eaters
0.75 lb
15 lbs
12 lbs
One whole packer
All weights are raw, untrimmed pounds — what you hand to the butcher. "Full spread" means three or more substantial sides.
If some of your 10 are kids
Kids eat about a quarter pound of cooked brisket each, half what a plated adult puts away, and they fill up on sides and rolls faster than you expect. Swapping four adults for four kids in a group of 10 takes roughly 2 lbs off your raw weight. Worth doing properly rather than guessing —put your real split into the calculator.
Not exactly 10 guests?
The calculator handles any headcount, plus kids, sides, and leftovers, and updates as you type.