Packers run 12–15 lb untrimmed. Buy one, trim it yourself, and you get flat and point both.
Assumes 15 adults, brisket plated as the main dish, a couple of sides, no leftovers.
Fifteen is the awkward number. It's too many for one modest flat and not quite enough to justify two packers, so you end up buying one large packer and hoping. You should stop hoping — fifteen adults served plated need about 7.5 pounds cooked, or 15 pounds raw, and that is one big packer trimmed lightly, or a packer plus a small flat if your crowd skews hungry. The thing that actually saves you at this size isn't more meat, it's sides. Three solid sides pull your meat requirement down by about a fifth and nobody notices except your wallet.
The math, worked out
Every number on this page comes from the same two steps. Here it is longhand for 15 adults eating brisket as the main dish:
2. Raw weight to buy (about 50% is lost to trimming and cooking) 7.5 lbs × 2 = 15 lbs raw
Want leftovers? Add 15 percent and buy 17.5 lbs instead — that's about 4 extra meals once the party's over.
15 people, by how you're serving
Serving style moves this number more than anything except sides. Here's all three, with and without a full spread of side dishes:
Raw brisket needed for 15 adults by serving style and number of sides
Serving style
Per adult
Few sides
Full spread
Cut to buy
Plated main
0.5 lb
15 lbs
12 lbs
One whole packer
Sandwiches
0.33 lb
10 lbs
8 lbs
One whole packer
Big BBQ eaters
0.75 lb
22.5 lbs
18 lbs
2 whole packers
All weights are raw, untrimmed pounds — what you hand to the butcher. "Full spread" means three or more substantial sides.
If some of your 15 are kids
Kids eat about a quarter pound of cooked brisket each, half what a plated adult puts away, and they fill up on sides and rolls faster than you expect. Swapping four adults for four kids in a group of 15 takes roughly 2 lbs off your raw weight. Worth doing properly rather than guessing —put your real split into the calculator.
Not exactly 15 guests?
The calculator handles any headcount, plus kids, sides, and leftovers, and updates as you type.